The International Environment Is Hard To Pick Up. In November, The Growth Of China'S Textile Exports Slowed Sharply.

Affected by weak external demand and rising cost, I was in the month of November.

As the end of 2011 is approaching, the export situation of textile and clothing is still grim.

Customs statistics show that China's textile and garment export growth rate in November was only 7.2%, the first time it fell below two digits in a single month for the first time in the year, and the growth rate was lower than 13.8% in November.

At the end of the year, the tail factor is flat. In December, the growth of textile exports will continue downward.

Single month export growth "big dive"

According to customs statistics, from 1 to November, I accumulated exports.

But for the month of November, China's textile and clothing exports were 20 billion 390 million US dollars, an increase of 7.2% over the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped by 29 percentage points over the same period last year.

Although the growth rate of textile exports in November is expected to decline, the extent of the decline is still beyond imagination.

Since June this year, the export growth rate of textile and clothing has been decreasing month by month, from the beginning of the small fluctuations to the current decline: the three quarter textile exports increased by 25%, 26.4%, and 14.8% respectively, and for the first time in September, they fell below 20%, and then went to 10.4% in October and 7.2% in November.

In November, textile exports amounted to $8 billion 30 million and clothing exports amounted to US $12 billion 360 million, up 13.6% and 3.5% respectively over the same period last year.

The growth rate of textile exports and clothing exports in September and October were 16.7% and 13.9%, 18.4% and 6% respectively. Following the growth of garment export in September for the first time behind the growth rate of textile products, the gap between the two was widening month by month.

"Our textiles are mainly made of yarn and cloth and exported to Southeast Asia.

Clothing and other end products are exported to Europe and the United States market. The above data show that as the textile export "heavy drama" clothing, the overseas market atrophy hit it at a glance.

Wang Qian, editor in chief of China's first textile network.

Wang pointed out that the export volume exceeded 20 billion US dollars in November, and there were many figures.

"But the key is not quantity, but quantity.

If we consider the unit price of textile and clothing which is growing rapidly due to cost factors and exchange rate factors, the growth of export volume will be even more depressed.

The growth rate of textile exports this year lurk around zero, or even negative growth, down two to three percentage points.

Industry analysts believe that the sharp decline in export growth reflects the shrinkage of orders, mainly due to two reasons: first, the continued downturn in Europe and the United States leads to reduced consumption; two, with the high cost of production factors in China, the textile price advantage gradually loses, and orders are pferred in large quantities.

China's textile industry is mainly export oriented, so the global textile consumer market determines to a large extent the amount of domestic textile exports, especially in the European and American markets as well as the international financial situation.

And throughout November (in fact, more than November), the debt crisis in the US and Europe is frequent, and the demand in the international market continues to slump, leading to the low level of consumption in recent years. Therefore, it is difficult for China's exports to improve.

According to customs statistics of the importing countries, from 1 to September, my share in the EU textile and clothing import market was 41.1%, 1 percentage points lower than that of the same period last year. From 1 to October, the import market share in the United States was 38.9%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points over the same period last year.

Considering the impact of the international market, the stock market was in a slump in November, and the commodity market was also frequent. The financial market at home and abroad was also bleak. "From upstream raw material procurement to enterprise productivity, and then to the terminal product consumption, all of them fell into the freezing point, and the reduction in export volume is expected."

Xia Ting said.

Wang further pointed out that domestic factors should not be overlooked.

Due to the dual impact of rising labor costs and other factors of production and the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, the unit price of terminal products has been substantially increased, and the price advantage of Chinese textiles is no longer, leading to a large number of orders pferred to Southeast Asian countries.

Liu Junshan, chairman of Hebei Bai Li Xin home textile Co. Ltd., confirmed that because of the rising export prices, the company's products had no advantage over India and Pakistan.

"Although merchants know that China's products are of better quality, they are shaking their prices repeatedly.

If prices are not raised, there will be no profit for exports from Europe and America.

A person in charge of the textile chamber of Commerce revealed that orders pfer has always been there, but reached a peak this year.

Mainly because of the rigid growth of domestic labor costs and the high price of raw materials such as cotton, many merchants can not afford the price rise of Chinese products, and pfer the processing and production of a large number of low-grade products to Bangladesh, Vietnam, Kampuchea, Indonesia and other countries.

International environment makes textile market difficult to warm up

The last straw of textile export enterprises -- the end of the year is not yet on schedule.

According to the market habit, generally speaking, the export volume of foreign trade commodities will increase greatly and the domestic consumption will also develop at peak stage.

"As for this year, the European and American market economy is still not improving obviously. Although the EU summit has issued a series of rescue measures, it is obvious that the crisis is not a temporary solution. It needs a very long pitional stage. Therefore, the end of the textile market in the end of next year and the beginning of next year will be difficult to achieve.

In terms of the economic situation, the consumer market will not be very optimistic at the beginning of next year, and the textile export market is unlikely to rebound substantially in the short term.

From the perspective of the integrated market, before the new market starts next year, the domestic textile market will be dominated by consolidation, and the general trend may be rocking with a weak trend.

After the beginning of the new market, the main factor that determines whether the textile market will pick up is the situation of the downstream consumer market. The terminal force can make the upstream support. Some industries such as limited production, price protection or stockpiling can only solve the urgent problem at the moment.

Wang predicts that the situation will be more severe next year, and the growth of textile exports will be single digit or even negative growth. The growth of export volume is also not optimistic, because the European and American economies may decline.

The fluctuation of raw material prices has also added negative variables to textile enterprises.

According to monitoring, since the two quarter of this year, textile raw material market prices have been falling, and basically belong to a straight down state, the market is extremely sad.

Entering the November, most textile raw materials enterprises, especially chemical fiber enterprises, controlled the falling prices through the way of production reduction, and effectively boosted the market.

However, downstream terminal enterprises continued to slump, weaving enterprises began to reduce the rate of operation, especially some small and medium enterprises have planned to leave early.

Under the attack of multiple cold currents, enterprises have to explore new ways to survive.

Liu Junshan, chairman of Hebei Bai Li Xin home textile Co., Ltd., said that since the export of products began to show signs of decline in June this year, the EU orders fell 10% over the same period last year, and sales fell by about 1 million dollars.

Due to the fact that the forecast for next year's situation is not optimistic, the company is ready to go to Russia to open up new markets, and develop new products, develop brands and occupy the high-end market by developing new products.

For example, he said, using a new fiber material bamboo fiber towels, the price can be 20% higher than that of ordinary towels, and a bamboo fiber towel can be sold to 6~10 dollars.

Wen Li, general manager of Wan Shi Li silk Co., told reporters that orders for this year are few.

The common list of countries in Europe and America has been pferred to Southeast Asia and gone forever.

But our advantage is deep processing. China must be stronger than Southeast Asian countries.

Design is the core of competition. Without design, it is no different from ordinary labor-intensive enterprises.

Since five years have predicted the trend of the pfer of orders, masters now focus on opening up the domestic market and creating unique advantages in gifts and fabrics.